Dundalk 0-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.24/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.96
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 226
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
13.06.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
19.04.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
04.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-5 HT 0-4 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
20.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers got the better of Dundalk 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dundalk had 55% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 45%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 1.33 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Dundalk 0-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 43%, draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ BTTS Yes
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