Sligo Rovers 2-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

Sligo Rovers
2-1 HT 0-1
Dundalk
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 32% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
11%
6.84
X/X
12%
4.93
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
12%
4.87
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sligo Rovers v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.23/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.06
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 66%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.8 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dundalk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 283
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.06.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
19.04.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
04.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-5 HT 0-4 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
20.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL

Sligo Rovers 2-1 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-1
AWAY Dundalk
2.13 xG 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
233 Passes 148
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers nicked a narrow win over Dundalk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sligo Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 57% of the ball to Dundalk's 43%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.00 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Sligo Rovers 2-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 46%, draw 26%, Dundalk 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sligo Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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