Kerry 2-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
11.04.2025 Kerry 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
18.10.2024 Kerry 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
19.04.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
08.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry squeezed past Athlone Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kerry as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerry had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kerry and 1.33 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Kerry 2-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kerry 47%, draw 24%, Athlone Town 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Over 2.5
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