Kerry 3-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
3.92
6+ Goals
6%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 38% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.5pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.45/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.38
+12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Kerry 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
19.04.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
08.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
15.09.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
09.06.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry cruised past Athlone Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Kerry made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerry and 1.50 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Kerry 3-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 39%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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