Wexford Youths 2-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 28% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
+25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.10.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
09.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
31.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
15.03.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.06.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths and Finn Harps couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.83 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Wexford Youths 2-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 42%, draw 26%, Finn Harps 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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