Drogheda United 5-0 Crumlin United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 Jul 2025

Drogheda United
5-0 HT 1-0
Crumlin United
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Ireland - FAI Cup – 2025

Drogheda United vs Crumlin United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.11
Draw
24%
8.11
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
4.06
No
55%
1.21
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
85%
-27.2pp
24%
Draw
9%
+14.6pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
21%
+24.4pp
55%
BTTS No
79%
-24.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Drogheda United v Crumlin United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Crumlin United EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+105% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
441 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Drogheda United 5-0 Crumlin United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
5-0
AWAY Crumlin United
72% Ball Possession 28%
32 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Crumlin United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United ran out comfortable winners over Crumlin United 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Drogheda United had 72% of the ball to Crumlin United's 28%, shots finished 32-5.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Crumlin United?

Drogheda United 5-0 Crumlin United in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Crumlin United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 58%, draw 24%, Crumlin United 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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