Treaty United vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Treaty United v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Treaty United vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Treaty United
İRK
Treaty United 1-5 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City ran out comfortable winners over Treaty United 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Treaty United had 28% of the ball to Derry City's 72%, shots finished 7-14.
What was the final score of Treaty United vs Derry City?
Treaty United 1-5 Derry City in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 26%, draw 28%, Derry City 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.