Kerry 2-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 34% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.42
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-2 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
07.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
12.07.2024 Kerry 3-3 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
26.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
23.02.2024 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry edged past Bray Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kerry found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kerry and 2.50 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry 2-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kerry 37%, draw 29%, Bray Wanderers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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