Dundalk vs Treaty United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Treaty United — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Treaty United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRK
Dundalk 1-1 Treaty United — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk and Treaty United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Dundalk had 61% of the ball to Treaty United's 39%, shots finished 13-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundalk and 1.00 for Treaty United.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Treaty United?
Dundalk 1-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Treaty United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 51%, draw 21%, Treaty United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.