Wexford Youths 3-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -20%
1.56/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Treaty United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
23.06.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.04.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
14.03.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
13.09.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-1 HT 4-0 Treaty United Treaty United İRK
23.08.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-3 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wexford Youths
3-2
AWAY Treaty United
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths squeezed past Treaty United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wexford Youths had 51% of the ball to Treaty United's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Treaty United?

Wexford Youths 3-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 41%, draw 27%, Treaty United 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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