Treaty United 0-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.73
-2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-1 HT 4-0 Treaty United Treaty United İRK
23.08.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-3 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
13.06.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
10.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
05.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
08.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
0-1
AWAY Wexford Youths
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths edged past Treaty United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Wexford Youths found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Treaty United had 46% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 54%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 2.33 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Treaty United 0-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 40%, draw 27%, Wexford Youths 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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