Athlone Town 2-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.24
6+ Goals
6%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 37% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.75/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.30
+40% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
15.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.05.2021 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Univ College Dublin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Athlone Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athlone Town and 2.50 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Athlone Town 2-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 37%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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