Athlone Town 1-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.86/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.07
+54% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
15.03.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
13.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 6-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.05.2021 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
26.03.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-0
AWAY Univ College Dublin
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 37% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 63%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athlone Town and 2.83 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Athlone Town 1-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 39%, draw 25%, Univ College Dublin 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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