Rusya 3-1 Nikaragua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-13.8pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.5pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rusya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.20/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/3.52
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
502 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 2.0
15.9 Crosses 6.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rusya
3-1
AWAY Nikaragua
3.76 xG 0.13
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
429 Passes 169
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 1
12 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rusya vs Nikaragua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rusya saw off Nikaragua 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rusya as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rusya had 67% of the ball to Nikaragua's 33%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.76 to 0.13.

What was the final score of Rusya vs Nikaragua?

Rusya 3-1 Nikaragua in the Friendlies on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rusya vs Nikaragua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rusya win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Rusya 71%, draw 16%, Nikaragua 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rusya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rusya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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