Burgos vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Amorebieta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
2-2
HT 2-1
Amorebieta
İS2
2-2
HT 1-1
Burgos
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
Amorebieta
İS3
Burgos 2-2 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos and Amorebieta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burgos had 42% of the ball to Amorebieta's 58%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.33 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burgos and 1.50 for Amorebieta.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Amorebieta?
Burgos 2-2 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Amorebieta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burgos 46%, draw 28%, Amorebieta 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.