Leganes 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
13%
8.37
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
19%
3.86
X/2
12%
7.53
X/X
14%
3.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
7.31
2/X
7%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.8pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.4pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.4pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.5pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.12
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.4 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
12.03.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
19.12.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
11.02.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.11.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
30.05.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-5 HT 0-3 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.43 xG 1.76
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
225 Passes 423
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes and Real Zaragoza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leganes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Leganes had 39% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 61%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.43 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leganes and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Real Zaragoza?

Leganes 1-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leganes 42%, draw 29%, Real Zaragoza 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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