Elche 2-2 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 37% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.25
X/2
11%
7.19
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.88
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.44/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.31
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
28.8 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Espanyol
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
375 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 2-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.02.2023 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
23.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS1
10.01.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS1
23.10.2021 Elche Elche 2-2 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
06.04.2015 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-2
AWAY Espanyol
0.52 xG 1.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elche vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche and Espanyol shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 58% of the ball to Espanyol's 42%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.52 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Elche vs Espanyol?

Elche 2-2 Espanyol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elche 46%, draw 29%, Espanyol 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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