Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
4-1
HT 1-0
Macarthur
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUK
Wellington Phoenix 3-0 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix ran out comfortable winners over Macarthur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Wellington Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 51% of the ball to Macarthur's 49%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.00 for Macarthur.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur?
Wellington Phoenix 3-0 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 53%, draw 20%, Macarthur 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.