Swarovski Tirol 0-0 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

Swarovski Tirol
0-0 HT 0-0
Austria Lustenau
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
19%
3.9
X/2
12%
9.86
X/X
8%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
12%
7.96
2/X
9%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +29%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.34
-43% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.4 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.76 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 Passes 226
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-2 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
11.02.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
17.09.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-3 HT 0-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
20.05.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-4 HT 0-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
22.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
15.10.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 3-2 HT 3-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU

Swarovski Tirol 0-0 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0-0
AWAY Austria Lustenau
0.93 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
183 Passes 240
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Austria Lustenau fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Swarovski Tirol at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 46% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 54%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.93 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.83 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Swarovski Tirol 0-0 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 46%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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