Holstebro BK 4-1 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 34%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.72/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.57
+1% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanlose
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
23.09.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
10.04.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 0-1 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
27.08.2022 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-1 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
4-1
AWAY Vanlose
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK cruised past Vanlose 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Holstebro BK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 43% of the ball to Vanlose's 57%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holstebro BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Holstebro BK and 0.75 for Vanlose.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Vanlose?

Holstebro BK 4-1 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 37%, draw 28%, Vanlose 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstebro BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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