GBK 4-2 OPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 27 Apr 2024

GBK
4-2 HT 1-2
OPS
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.08 — our 24% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GBK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY OPS EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.47/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GBK
1W-0D-3L
AWAY OPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
23.08.2015 OPS OPS 2-1 HT 1-0 GBK GBK FİNKAK
10.05.2015 OPS OPS 4-2 HT 3-0 GBK GBK FİNKAK
06.09.2014 GBK GBK 1-2 HT 0-0 OPS OPS FİNKAK
25.05.2014 GBK GBK 2-0 HT 1-0 OPS OPS FİNKAK
POST-MATCH GBK vs OPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GBK got the better of OPS 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GBK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, OPS led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GBK and 2.00 for OPS.

What was the final score of GBK vs OPS?

GBK 4-2 OPS in the Finland - Kakkonen on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GBK vs OPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a GBK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split GBK 55%, draw 21%, OPS 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GBK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GBK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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