JS Hercules 2-4 SJK Akatemia II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 27 Apr 2024

JS Hercules
2-4 HT 1-2
SJK Akatemia II
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Kakkonen – 2024

JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 23% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.7pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JS Hercules v SJK Akatemia II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JS Hercules EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia II EU Bookmakers 36%
+16% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia II saw off JS Hercules 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day SJK Akatemia II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II?

JS Hercules 2-4 SJK Akatemia II in the Finland - Kakkonen on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JS Hercules vs SJK Akatemia II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JS Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split JS Hercules 40%, draw 25%, SJK Akatemia II 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JS Hercules), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JS Hercules) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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