PEPO 2-0 NJS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 27 Apr 2024

PEPO
2-0 HT 2-0
NJS
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
5.8
2-3 Goals
42%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
10%
5.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.8 — our 23% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEPO EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY NJS EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
2.66/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.30
+19% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEPO
3W-1D-1L
AWAY NJS
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 PEPO PEPO 3-2 HT 1-1 NJS NJS FİNKAK
01.07.2023 NJS NJS 2-2 HT 1-1 PEPO PEPO FİNKAK
02.10.2021 NJS NJS 1-2 HT 0-1 PEPO PEPO FİNKAK
19.09.2021 PEPO PEPO 2-0 HT 1-0 NJS NJS FİNKAK
28.06.2020 NJS NJS 3-0 HT 0-0 PEPO PEPO FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEPO
2-0
AWAY NJS
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEPO vs NJS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEPO got the better of NJS 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PEPO as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PEPO had 36% of the ball to NJS's 64%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, PEPO had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for PEPO and 1.60 for NJS.

What was the final score of PEPO vs NJS?

PEPO 2-0 NJS in the Finland - Kakkonen on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEPO vs NJS?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEPO win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split PEPO 58%, draw 20%, NJS 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PEPO), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PEPO) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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