Anadia 1-0 Canelas 2010 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.49/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.88
+15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Canelas 2010
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 2-0 HT 2-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
05.11.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-4 HT 1-2 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
08.08.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 3-2 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
29.04.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 3-1 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
08.04.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-2 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
28.01.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 1-0 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-0
AWAY Canelas 2010
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Canelas 2010
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia nicked a narrow win over Canelas 2010 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Anadia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Anadia had 44% of the ball to Canelas 2010's 56%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canelas 2010 led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Anadia and 2.50 for Canelas 2010.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Canelas 2010?

Anadia 1-0 Canelas 2010 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Canelas 2010?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Anadia 38%, draw 28%, Canelas 2010 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anadia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
27 Apr 2024
17:00 Fafe vs Trofense Analysis →
19:00 Sanjoanense vs Vianense Analysis →