Sanjoanense 1-1 Vianense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vianense EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.52/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Vianense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Vianense Vianense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.01.2024 Vianense Vianense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
01.10.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY Vianense
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Vianense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Vianense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 45% of the ball to Vianense's 55%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vianense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.33 for Vianense.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Vianense?

Sanjoanense 1-1 Vianense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Vianense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 37%, draw 26%, Vianense 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
27 Apr 2024
17:00 Fafe vs Trofense Analysis →
22:30 Anadia vs Canelas 2010 Analysis →