FCSB 2-1 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.29
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
17.04.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
29.01.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-3 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-1
AWAY SSC Farul
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FCSB vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB squeezed past SSC Farul 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 50% of the ball to SSC Farul's 50%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FCSB and 1.33 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of FCSB vs SSC Farul?

FCSB 2-1 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FCSB 47%, draw 27%, SSC Farul 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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