Foshan Nanshi 2-2 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.13
No
66%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.29
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.86
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.29 — our 43% vs market 36.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.3pp
66%
BTTS No
57%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
0.92/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.40
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.5 Crosses 15.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Guangxi Baoyun shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Foshan Nanshi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.50 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Foshan Nanshi 2-2 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 45%, draw 29%, Guangxi Baoyun 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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