Helsingborgs IF 1-5 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Apr 2025

Helsingborgs IF
1-5 HT 1-5
Kalmar
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Helsingborgs IF vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.24
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
16%
5.38
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.54
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helsingborgs IF v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.31/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.50
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Helsingborgs IF vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kalmar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.03.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 4-1 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇK
02.10.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
02.07.2022 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
09.09.2020 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
18.06.2020 Kalmar Kalmar 4-0 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
30.09.2019 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ

Helsingborgs IF 1-5 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1-5
AWAY Kalmar
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar swept aside Helsingborgs IF 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 44% of the ball to Kalmar's 56%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 2.00 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Kalmar?

Helsingborgs IF 1-5 Kalmar in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 33%, draw 26%, Kalmar 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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