Umea FC 0-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Apr 2025

Umea FC
0-1 HT 0-0
IK Brage
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Umea FC vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.82
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
6.6
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
10%
4.66
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
20%
3.12
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umea FC v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
-16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Umea FC vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.09.2020 Umea FC Umea FC 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
30.08.2020 IK Brage IK Brage 0-1 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
08.10.2012 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
09.06.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage nicked a narrow win over Umea FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Umea FC and 0.75 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs IK Brage?

Umea FC 0-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 31%, draw 26%, IK Brage 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ BTTS Yes
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