Trelleborgs FF 0-4 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.06
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.83
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.41/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.74
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
02.11.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
06.05.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.03.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
0-4
AWAY Varbergs
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs cruised past Trelleborgs FF 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Trelleborgs FF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 56% of the ball to Varbergs's 44%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 0.67 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs?

Trelleborgs FF 0-4 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 42%, draw 26%, Varbergs 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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