Assyriska 1-3 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.24/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.18
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
14.04.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 5-0 HT 2-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
26.09.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
26.04.2021 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-3 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-3
AWAY Hammarby Talang
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang saw off Assyriska 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby Talang as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Assyriska had 41% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 59%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Assyriska and 1.25 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang?

Assyriska 1-3 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 35%, draw 19%, Hammarby Talang 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby Talang), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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