IF Karlstad 2-1 United Nordic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY United Nordic EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.09/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.87
+38% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
0W-1D-3L
AWAY United Nordic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 0-2 HT 0-0 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
25.05.2024 United Nordic United Nordic 3-0 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
14.10.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 3-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
10.04.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-1 HT 0-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-1
AWAY United Nordic
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs United Nordic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad squeezed past United Nordic 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day IF Karlstad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 49% of the ball to United Nordic's 51%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, United Nordic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IF Karlstad and 2.25 for United Nordic.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs United Nordic?

IF Karlstad 2-1 United Nordic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs United Nordic?

Before kick-off our model rated an United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 36%, draw 24%, United Nordic 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (United Nordic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United Nordic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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