IF Karlstad 0-2 United Nordic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY United Nordic EU Bookmakers 56%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.17/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.35
-9% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
0W-1D-2L
AWAY United Nordic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
25.05.2024 United Nordic United Nordic 3-0 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
14.10.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 3-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
10.04.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-1 HT 0-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
0-2
AWAY United Nordic
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs United Nordic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic saw off IF Karlstad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 42% of the ball to United Nordic's 58%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, United Nordic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IF Karlstad and 2.33 for United Nordic.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs United Nordic?

IF Karlstad 0-2 United Nordic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs United Nordic?

Before kick-off our model rated an United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 25%, draw 31%, United Nordic 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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