Racing Santander 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
10%
5.47
2/1
6%
22.0
2/2
14%
5.5
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.1
Value flag · 2/X at 14.1 — our 9% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.71/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.6 Crosses 12.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
16.02.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
24.10.2021 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
16.01.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
26.10.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
17.04.2011 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.29 xG 0.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
195 Passes 413
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Coruna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Santander had 36% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 64%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.29 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Racing Santander 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 42%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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