Malaga vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS3
3-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS2
3-1
HT 2-0
CD Castellon
İS2
Malaga 1-0 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Malaga nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Malaga had 39% of the ball to CD Castellon's 61%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.16 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Malaga vs CD Castellon?
Malaga 1-0 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malaga 30%, draw 30%, CD Castellon 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.