Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
1-2 HT 0-2
Racing Santander
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 30% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2
10%
6.13
X/X
17%
4.73
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.02
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.31/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
23.6 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.02.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
24.10.2021 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
16.01.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
26.10.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
17.04.2011 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
28.11.2010 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-2
AWAY Racing Santander
1.36 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
426 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 56% of the ball to Racing Santander's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.67 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 41%, draw 29%, Racing Santander 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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