Malaga vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v Eibar — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Malaga
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Eibar
İS2
1-3
HT 1-1
Eibar
İS2
2-2
HT 2-1
Malaga
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Eibar
İS1
Malaga 1-0 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics
Malaga squeezed past Eibar 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Malaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Malaga had 38% of the ball to Eibar's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malaga and 1.67 for Eibar.
What was the final score of Malaga vs Eibar?
Malaga 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs Eibar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malaga 38%, draw 31%, Eibar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.