Elche vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Elche
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
Elche 1-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Elche nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Elche had 63% of the ball to Burgos's 37%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.30.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elche and 1.33 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Elche vs Burgos?
Elche 1-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Elche 48%, draw 27%, Burgos 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.