Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
12%
6.17
X/X
17%
3.95
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.4 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 395
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
22.10.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.03.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
03.11.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.02.2021 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
03.12.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
3-3
AWAY Sporting Gijon
3.22 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
400 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
42 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Sporting Gijon shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Albacete had 57% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 43%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.22 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albacete and 1.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?

Albacete 3-3 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Albacete 37%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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