Granada 1-2 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.95
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
20%
4.7
X/2
9%
6.89
X/X
13%
4.31
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.31/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.26
+17% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.3 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Levante
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2023 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 2-1 Granada Granada İS2
03.11.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
17.04.2022 Granada Granada 1-4 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS1
01.11.2021 Levante Levante 0-3 HT 0-2 Granada Granada İS1
06.02.2021 Levante Levante 2-2 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS1
01.11.2020 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-2
AWAY Levante
1.31 xG 1.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
415 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
40 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Granada vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante nicked a narrow win over Granada 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Granada had 58% of the ball to Levante's 42%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Granada and 1.67 for Levante.

What was the final score of Granada vs Levante?

Granada 1-2 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Granada 43%, draw 29%, Levante 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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