Arenas de Getxo 3-2 Tudelano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No Pick
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tudelano EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.94/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.41
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tudelano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.12.2024 Tudelano Tudelano 0-1 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
04.02.2024 Tudelano Tudelano 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
23.09.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 0-1 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
26.02.2023 Tudelano Tudelano 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
09.10.2022 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-3 HT 0-1 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
19.01.2020 Tudelano Tudelano 1-1 HT 1-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
3-2
AWAY Tudelano
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Tudelano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo nicked a narrow win over Tudelano 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 51% of the ball to Tudelano's 49%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tudelano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 1.00 for Tudelano.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Tudelano?

Arenas de Getxo 3-2 Tudelano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Tudelano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 51%, draw 25%, Tudelano 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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