La Union Atletico 0-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.06
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
51%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
La Union Atletico win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+15.2pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.51/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.54
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
257 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
14.04.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 2-0 HT 1-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
03.12.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas squeezed past La Union Atletico 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had La Union Atletico at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for La Union Atletico and 0.67 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs CD Aguilas?

La Union Atletico 0-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 61%, draw 26%, CD Aguilas 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Union Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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