Real Avila 2-1 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.32/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
+9% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Avila
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Compostela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.12.2024 Compostela Compostela 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Avila
2-1
AWAY Compostela
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila squeezed past Compostela 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Avila had 54% of the ball to Compostela's 46%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Compostela?

Real Avila 2-1 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 43%, draw 26%, Compostela 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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