Sabadell 5-0 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
3.05
No Pick
68%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.0pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.1pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
32%
BTTS Yes
29%
+2.7pp
68%
BTTS No
71%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.51/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.19
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
534 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Badalona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS4
03.11.2019 Sabadell Sabadell 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
5-0
AWAY Badalona
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell swept aside Badalona 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sabadell had 63% of the ball to Badalona's 37%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sabadell had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabadell and 0.50 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Badalona?

Sabadell 5-0 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 60%, draw 22%, Badalona 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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