Salamanca 3-1 Langreo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.56
Over
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Langreo EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.24/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.08
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Langreo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Langreo Langreo 3-1 HT 2-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
17.04.2022 Langreo Langreo 1-1 HT 1-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
28.11.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
3-1
AWAY Langreo
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Langreo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca got the better of Langreo 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salamanca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salamanca had 61% of the ball to Langreo's 39%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salamanca and 1.33 for Langreo.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Langreo?

Salamanca 3-1 Langreo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Langreo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 41%, draw 27%, Langreo 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salamanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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