Hannover 96 1-0 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over Pick
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.51
2-3
36%
1.91
4-5
24%
2.82
6+
15%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.24
1/2
10%
21.95
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
9%
7.91
X/2
12%
5.14
X/X
8%
5.46
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
2.67
2/X
8%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.95 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.40/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.53
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
18.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Köln
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Köln Köln 2-2 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
17.02.2018 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
24.09.2017 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
12.03.2016 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-2 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL1
18.10.2015 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
21.02.2015 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-0
AWAY Köln
0.94 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 edged past Köln 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 53% of the ball to Köln's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.94 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.00 for Köln.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Köln?

Hannover 96 1-0 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 34%, draw 25%, Köln 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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