Kaiserslautern 2-1 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.38
Over Pick
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.03
2-3
40%
1.97
4-5
25%
2.68
6+
12%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
7%
8.34
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1
8%
20.55
2/2
10%
5.49
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.68/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.65
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.0 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.22 xG 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 366
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-3 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
26.01.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 4-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
05.08.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
18.03.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-4 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
15.10.2011 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
23.04.2011 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
2-1
AWAY Schalke 04
2.18 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
272 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern nicked a narrow win over Schalke 04 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 51% of the ball to Schalke 04's 49%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.18 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.50 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04?

Kaiserslautern 2-1 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 49%, draw 26%, Schalke 04 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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