Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2025

Alemannia Aachen
1-0 HT 1-0
Osnabrück
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
19.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 23% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
14%
6.56
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.72
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.10/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.60
-28% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.0 Crosses 19.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Alemannia Aachen vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
169 Passes 246
58% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
24.11.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
19.03.2011 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-3 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
31.10.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
08.05.2009 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
21.11.2008 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2

Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1-0
AWAY Osnabrück
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
181 Passes 409
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen edged past Osnabrück 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Alemannia Aachen made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 36% of the ball to Osnabrück's 64%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.17 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Osnabrück?

Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 39%, draw 30%, Osnabrück 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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