Ingolstadt 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Apr 2025

Ingolstadt
0-3 HT 0-2
Arminia Bielefeld
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.59
1/2
10%
22.0
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
8%
7.08
X/2
14%
5.23
X/X
16%
5.68
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
2.88
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.61/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.70
+27% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +78%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.7 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ingolstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.97 xG 1.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
210 Passes 331
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.11.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
05.04.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
28.10.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
21.04.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
11.11.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
08.04.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2

Ingolstadt 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
0-3
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
225 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld swept aside Ingolstadt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Arminia Bielefeld made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 39% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 61%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.67 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Ingolstadt 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 29%, draw 31%, Arminia Bielefeld 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ BTTS Yes
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