Al Wahda 2-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.29
+11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.9 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.44 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 5-4 HT 3-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
29.03.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
29.09.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
10.02.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
16.09.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
04.03.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
2-2
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.75 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
198 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda and Al Ahli FC Dubai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Wahda had 45% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.75 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Wahda and 2.50 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Wahda 2-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 36%, draw 25%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5
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